Mação vs Santa Iria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mação
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SER
1 - 2
MAC
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
FAT
5%
11%
84%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
MAC
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 3
LOU
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAC
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Iria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
IRI
1 - 1
OLE
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
IRI
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
IRI
2 - 1
FAT
16%
21%
63%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
IRI
2 - 1
CAL
19%
21%
61%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +6 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADN
3 - 0
IRI
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |