Macaé Esporte vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAB
3 - 2
MAC
27%
23%
50%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
SAM
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAM
5 - 3
MAC
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
GOY
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
OLA
2 - 0
MAC
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOA
77%
15%
7%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ATP
5 - 1
VAS
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 0
NAU
76%
17%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRZ
29%
25%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
VAS
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |