Macaé Esporte vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAC
93%
6%
2%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 2
MAD
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
OLA
1 - 1
MAC
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 2
BAN
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
MAC
91%
7%
2%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 6
VAS
14%
22%
65%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AME
0 - 9
VAS
17%
23%
60%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VAS
3 - 0
AME
83%
13%
4%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 0
VOL
83%
13%
5%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |