Macaé Esporte vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 3
MAC
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 1
DUQ
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 1
MAC
83%
13%
5%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
VOL
3 - 5
VAS
10%
17%
73%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
MES
90%
8%
2%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 0
FLA
43%
25%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
0 - 1
VAS
14%
19%
67%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 4
VAS
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |