Macaé Esporte vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 4
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
VOL
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 0
MAC
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 4
VAS
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
MAC
24%
23%
54%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 2
DUQ
57%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
TUP
84%
12%
5%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TUP
1 - 1
ATM
14%
20%
67%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
ATM
13%
19%
67%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
DEM
2 - 1
TUP
34%
25%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |