Macaé Esporte vs Resende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
FLA
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
40%
24%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 6
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
BRA
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
IFC
4 - 2
MAC
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RES
3 - 2
OLA
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
RES
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RES
1 - 1
MAD
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 1
RES
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
RES
93%
5%
2%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |