Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 1-3
Macaé Esporte vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 2
ITU
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
MAC
18%
24%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 1
URT
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
URT
1 - 2
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
NOV
4 - 2
AME
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
UBE
3 - 1
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
NOV
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |