Macaé Esporte vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
MAC
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 1
MAC
83%
13%
4%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VOL
1 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 2
FLA
8%
18%
74%
|
42 | 88 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
BOT
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 2
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 2
VAS
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
MAD
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |