Macaé Esporte vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
FRI
1 - 1
MAC
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
FLA
13%
21%
67%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PAY
3 - 3
MAC
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
PAY
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 2
VOL
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 4
FLU
9%
19%
72%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 1
NOV
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
NOV
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 5 | 43 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 3
AUD
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
VOL
2 - 1
NOV
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |