Macaé Esporte vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
VAS
4 - 0
MAC
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 3
AME
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
RES
3 - 3
MAC
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 3
BOT
11%
18%
72%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
REC
2 - 1
MAC
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
MAD
2 - 1
FRI
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RES
1 - 2
MAD
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
TIG
2 - 1
MAD
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MAD
2 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TUP
0 - 2
MAD
61%
22%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |