Macaé Esporte vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
YPI
2 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 1
MOG
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAC
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 5
BOA
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
TOM
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
6 - 2
GUA
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
YPI
3 - 2
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
MOG
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 5
JUV
19%
26%
55%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -1 |