Macaé Esporte vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 2
MAC
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
VOL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 4
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
VAS
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAB
3 - 2
MAC
27%
23%
50%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 1
FRI
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
FRI
0 - 2
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VAS
6 - 0
FRI
85%
12%
3%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 1
FRI
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 2
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |