Série C Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Macaé Esporte vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
FRI
3 - 1
MAC
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
5 - 0
BOA
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
CAX
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 2
ASA
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
FOR
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 0
TRE
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
PAY
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
CRB
3 - 0
FOR
31%
28%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -2 |