Macaé Esporte vs Espirito Santo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 2
MAC
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
MAC
48%
25%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
FLA
11%
22%
67%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
VOL
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Espirito Santo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
URT
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
REA
4 - 2
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 2
REA
30%
26%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
4 - 1
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |