Macaé Esporte vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 1
MAC
83%
13%
5%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RES
0 - 2
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
4 - 0
FRI
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BOT
4 - 0
DUQ
89%
9%
3%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 1
FRI
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 4
FLA
7%
16%
76%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
3 - 0
DUQ
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 2
DUQ
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |