Macaé Esporte vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
AME
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
FLA
14%
22%
65%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 0
MAC
25%
25%
51%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BON
0 - 3
BAN
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CAB
3 - 1
BON
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 0
BON
85%
12%
3%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BON
0 - 2
RES
31%
28%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
BON
2 - 3
MAC
25%
26%
48%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |