Macaé Esporte vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PET
1 - 0
MAC
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
AME
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 2
MAC
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
OLA
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
3 - 2
AME
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
VOL
21%
23%
55%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
AME
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |