Macaé Esporte vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 1
MAC
83%
13%
5%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RES
0 - 2
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
4 - 0
FRI
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
MES
4 - 2
MAC
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AME
1 - 3
BAN
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
AME
5 - 1
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VOL
3 - 0
AME
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 4
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
AME
2 - 0
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |