Macaé Esporte vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 0
MAC
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2017 |
BON
0 - 1
MAC
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 1
GOY
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
TOM
29%
28%
44%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MOG
3 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
AME
1 - 2
GOY
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
RES
3 - 2
AME
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
BON
63%
21%
15%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GOY
1 - 1
AME
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
GOY
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |