Maardu FC vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
MAA
1 - 1
TIN
58%
20%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RAK
3 - 4
MAA
25%
21%
54%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MAA
5 - 1
KUR
45%
23%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TFS
3 - 4
MAA
51%
21%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAA
1 - 2
FCE
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
WEL
1 - 5
TAL
26%
23%
50%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LEV
3 - 1
WEL
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
WEL
0 - 3
FLO
23%
25%
53%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
WEL
2 - 2
TIN
38%
23%
39%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RAK
4 - 0
WEL
29%
24%
46%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -3 |