Lyubimets vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyubimets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
LUD
0 - 0
LYU
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
LYU
2 - 1
DOR
53%
26%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
LYU
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LYU
0 - 0
SVE
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
LYU
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
NES
0 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
SPA
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LUD
1 - 0
NES
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NES
2 - 1
DOR
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |