Lyss vs Marly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LYS
1 - 1
TPA
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
POR
3 - 5
LYS
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LYS
0 - 0
LOC
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
THI
2 - 1
LYS
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LYS
4 - 2
BER
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Marly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 4
POR
15%
18%
66%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LOC
7 - 0
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
THI
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BER
1 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 4
SEC
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |