Lyss vs Grünstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
LYS
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LYS
1 - 1
OST
72%
15%
13%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
LYS
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
THI
2 - 0
LYS
71%
16%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LYS
1 - 2
LAC
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 1
THI
34%
24%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LAC
5 - 1
GRU
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COL
6 - 0
GRU
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GRU
3 - 1
GUM
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
GRU
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |