Lyss vs Farvagny / Ogoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
OST
1 - 1
LYS
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
LYS
1 - 2
SEC
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
THI
3 - 2
LYS
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
LYS
3 - 1
ROM
70%
17%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GUM
0 - 2
LYS
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FAR
3 - 0
THI
13%
19%
69%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
FAR
2 - 3
LAU
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
LER
10 - 0
FAR
83%
12%
6%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
FAR
2 - 3
POR
15%
20%
66%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
TPA
2 - 0
FAR
82%
11%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |