Lyon-Duchère vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
LYO
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LYO
0 - 2
FCM
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MOA
2 - 1
LYO
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LYO
0 - 1
HYE
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OLY
1 - 1
LYO
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LEP
2 - 0
VIL
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 2
SÈT
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
BEZ
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |