Lyon-Duchère vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
65.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
FCM
1 - 1
LYO
71%
20%
9%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
LYO
1 - 0
SOC
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LYO
2 - 1
TFC
13%
24%
64%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MON
2 - 0
LYO
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
LYO
4 - 0
CAS
30%
25%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
GIR
2 - 1
STR
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
STR
2 - 1
MET
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
STR
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
STR
4 - 0
ASN
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
STR
0 - 4
LYO
24%
27%
50%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |