Lyon-Duchère vs Olympique Lyonnais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
5º
1º
28
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
27 | 50 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 46 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 44 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 44 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 38 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 32 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 31 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
33.5% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CLE
2 - 4
LYO
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
THO
0 - 0
LYO
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SEY
3 - 1
LYO
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LYO
3 - 2
LIM
70%
18%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 0
LYO
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SEY
2 - 2
OLY
24%
21%
55%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
OLY
3 - 1
LIM
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 2
OLY
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 2
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
WHU
0 - 2
OLY
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +3 |