Lyon-Duchère vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
YZE
1 - 1
LYO
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LYO
0 - 0
MOU
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
LYO
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FCM
1 - 0
LYO
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LYO
1 - 0
MOA
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
MOA
1 - 0
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
SPI
18%
23%
59%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VES
1 - 2
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
FCM
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 1
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |