Lyon-Duchère vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
70.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
LYO
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
YZE
1 - 2
LYO
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LYO
2 - 1
AND
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LYO
3 - 1
SAR
43%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAI
1 - 1
LYO
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
LHA
3 - 2
ETG
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
ETG
0 - 0
STL
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 1
ETG
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
ETG
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
ETG
4 - 0
VAL
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |