Lyon-Duchère vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+146%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
6º
1º
3
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
7 | 59 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 47 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 44 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 43 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 37 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 26 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 11 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
69% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 28% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 60% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAE
1 - 2
LYO
11%
18%
70%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 1
CLE
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
DIJ
5 - 1
LYO
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
LYO
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 3
AIN
81%
13%
5%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 2
LIM
36%
23%
42%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 2
ESM
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 2
CHA
26%
25%
49%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VAU
1 - 5
ESM
36%
23%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ESM
3 - 1
OVA
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |