Lyon-Duchère vs Clermont II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
6º
1º
2
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
7 | 59 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 47 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 44 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 43 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 37 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 26 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 11 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
69% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
DIJ
5 - 1
LYO
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
LYO
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 3
AIN
81%
13%
5%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 1
LYO
6%
15%
79%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
LYO
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Clermont II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CLE
5 - 2
OLY
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LIM
3 - 1
CLE
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 1
ESM
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FEU
2 - 1
CLE
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 1
CDE
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |