Lyon-Duchère vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
71.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FEU
2 - 3
LYO
8%
17%
76%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LYO
1 - 1
CDE
85%
11%
5%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAE
0 - 1
LYO
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LYO
2 - 1
SAI
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAU
0 - 3
LYO
11%
19%
71%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 0
BAS
43%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 1
GIR
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
GUI
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 1
BAS
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
ANN
42%
26%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |