Lyon-Duchère II vs Montluçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
8º
14º
13º
10
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 0
FEU
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HAL
3 - 1
LDU
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 0
VAU
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
LDU
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 2
LDU
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Montluçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
HAL
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAU
3 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
CHA
15%
22%
63%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RVA
2 - 0
MON
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
DOM
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |