Lyngen/Karnes vs Alta IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyngen/Karnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LKN
1 - 0
IFS
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
IFK
2 - 3
LKN
11%
19%
71%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
LEV
4 - 0
LKN
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
LKN
7 - 0
RAN
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +5 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
IFS
5 - 1
LKN
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Alta IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALT
5 - 0
HOD
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 3
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 0
ALT
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 1
MJO
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 0
BRY
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |