Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-1
Lyngby BK vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyngby BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1990 |
WRE
0 - 0
LYN
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
LYN
1 - 3
NEX
2%
20%
78%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1986 |
NEX
2 - 0
LYN
98%
2%
1%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1985 |
CRV
3 - 1
LYN
99%
1%
1%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
LYN
2 - 2
CRV
2%
24%
74%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1990 |
WRE
0 - 5
EVE
20%
25%
56%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1990 |
WRE
0 - 0
LYN
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1990 |
WRE
2 - 0
YOR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1990 |
YOR
0 - 1
WRE
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1989 |
WIG
5 - 0
WRE
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |