Lyngby BK vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
11º
11º
18
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 44 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 39 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 38 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 36 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 35 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 33 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 28 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 28 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 23 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 15 |
11º
|
59.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyngby BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
AAB
2 - 1
LYN
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 1
LYN
21%
21%
57%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LYN
1 - 0
VEJ
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
VFF
1 - 0
LYN
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LYN
1 - 2
MID
18%
22%
60%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 1
SIF
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AGF
4 - 2
FCN
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AAB
0 - 4
AGF
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
AGF
5 - 1
VEJ
57%
25%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BIF
0 - 1
AGF
54%
22%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |