Lynchburg vs Northern Virginia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
77.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Virginia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
NOR
3 - 0
RCN
77%
13%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
WCU
2 - 0
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NOR
4 - 2
LEH
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
RCN
0 - 1
NOR
27%
21%
52%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 1
JLS
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |