Luziânia vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
75.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
LUZ
0 - 0
7DE
37%
27%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 0
LUZ
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
SIN
2 - 3
LUZ
40%
28%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 1
SIN
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
4 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIT
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SDJ
1 - 2
VIT
8%
17%
75%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
88%
9%
3%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
PAL
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |