Copa Verde Last 16
Global 2-2
Luziânia vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
LUZ
25%
27%
49%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LUZ
2 - 2
SOB
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
LUZ
4 - 0
CEI
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
LUZ
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
LUZ
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
CAP
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
LUZ
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
EST
40%
25%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |