Luziânia vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
URO
1 - 1
LUZ
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
7DE
0 - 0
LUZ
45%
26%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
LUZ
5 - 0
7DE
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 1
URO
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
APA
0 - 1
LUZ
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
APA
2 - 1
7DE
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
URO
2 - 0
APA
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
APA
3 - 0
URO
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
7DE
1 - 2
APA
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
APA
0 - 1
LUZ
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -2 |