Luzi 2008 vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
12º
11º
46
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BUT
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
LUZ
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 1
VOR
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 0
LUZ
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 2
BYL
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
APO
4 - 0
NAF
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
APO
4 - 1
TOM
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 0
APO
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
APO
3 - 0
BUR
66%
20%
13%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
APO
11%
20%
70%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |