Luzi 2008 vs AF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+114%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
12º
11º
79
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BES
2 - 0
LUZ
47%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 3
APO
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BUT
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
LUZ
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 1
VOR
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ELB
4 - 0
TOM
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
ELB
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BES
0 - 3
ELB
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ELB
2 - 0
BUR
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | +7 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 1
ELB
76%
16%
7%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | 0 |