Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCL
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
STG
1 - 1
FCL
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 2
YOB
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FCL
3 - 2
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
YOB
1 - 3
ZUR
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
3 - 1
GCZ
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
ZUR
28%
23%
48%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ZUR
3 - 1
THU
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
STG
0 - 2
ZUR
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |