Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
FCV
1 - 0
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FCP
0 - 3
FCL
15%
20%
65%
|
69 | 9 | 60 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCL
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
GCZ
4 - 2
FCL
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
ZUR
0 - 1
ACM
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ZUR
3 - 0
NEX
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
WID
0 - 6
ZUR
6%
14%
80%
|
83 | 25 | 58 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
ACM
3 - 1
ZUR
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FCV
1 - 7
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |