Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
BAU
0 - 1
FCL
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 2
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
YFJ
1 - 5
FCL
14%
20%
67%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 0
MEY
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 2
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ZUR
4 - 1
YVE
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
THU
1 - 3
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ZUR
2 - 0
GCZ
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
NEX
0 - 1
ZUR
22%
24%
55%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |