Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
LAU
3 - 2
FCL
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
FCL
1 - 3
STG
26%
25%
50%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
SIO
3 - 1
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
FCL
1 - 1
SER
27%
25%
47%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
FCL
0 - 4
YOB
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 3
GCZ
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZUR
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 1
NEX
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 3
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
ZUR
2 - 0
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +2 |