Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
FCW
1 - 2
FCL
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
SER
2 - 3
FCL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
FCL
3 - 1
STG
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
FCL
0 - 2
GCZ
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
FCA
2 - 2
FCL
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
SER
3 - 2
ZUR
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1990 |
ZUR
0 - 3
YOB
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
FCW
2 - 2
ZUR
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SIO
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
LAU
4 - 2
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |