Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
BAS
3 - 3
FCL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 1
SER
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1987 |
STG
2 - 0
FCL
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
ZUR
1 - 3
STG
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
BAS
5 - 4
ZUR
45%
24%
32%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1987 |
YOB
1 - 1
ZUR
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
ZUR
0 - 1
GCZ
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |