Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
NEX
2 - 2
FCL
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCW
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
SIO
2 - 2
FCL
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
BEL
1 - 2
ZUR
22%
25%
54%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LOC
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
STG
2 - 1
ZUR
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
ZUR
3 - 0
VEV
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |