Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1984 |
NEX
4 - 0
FCL
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCW
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
VEV
0 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1984 |
FCA
3 - 1
FCL
65%
19%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1984 |
SIO
2 - 1
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
ZUR
1 - 0
GCZ
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
NEX
5 - 2
ZUR
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCW
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1984 |
STG
4 - 0
ZUR
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |